Gujarat Exit Polls Predict BJP’s 22-Year Rule Will Continue

The exit polls of most TV channels showed the BJP was headed for a win in Gujarat, as Assembly elections came to a close on Thursday, 14 December.

The BJP, which has been in power in the state for 22 years, is projected to win the elections this time as well.

Exit polls are usually seen as an indicator of the polling trends, with some proving to be in sync with the final results, but others ending up being inaccurate.

The results for the 182-member Gujarat Assembly will be declared on 18 December.

Here’s our special coverage of the Gujarat Elections 2017.

  • Gujarat went to poll in two phases – on 9 December and 14 December
  • Exit polls numbers are predicting 100+ seats for BJP in the state
  • Early numbers also predict an increase in Congress’ seat share
  • Total voting turnout of both phases: 67.40 percent
  • Results for the Assembly polls will be declared on 18 December

Final Voter Turnout Stands At 67.4%

Exit Polls Unanimously Predict BJP Win

#GujaratElection2017 | Exit polls unanimously predict a BJP victory in both Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh. Will Rahul Gandhi begin his innings as Congress President with a twin defeat? Find out on the 18th. #HimachalPradeshElections https://t.co/4nbOoQgI4c pic.twitter.com/t33PPQBUsR

— The Quint (@TheQuint) December 14, 2017

Jignesh Mevani "Confident" BJP Won't Win

"BJP Has Advantage," Says Yogendra Yadav

Gujarat CM Vijay Rupani Confident of BJP's Target

Congress to Win 75 Seats, Says India Today Exit Poll

News Nation Predicts Maximum Number to BJP

Today's Chanakya Predicts 124-146 Seats Will Go to BJP

Phase Two Polls Concludes With 68.70% Turnout

Region-Wise Prediction: South Gujarat Predicted to Swing BJP Way

NDTV Predicts 112 Seats For BJP

Region-Wise Prediction: Central Gujarat Likely to Swing BJP Way

Region Wise Prediction: Majority For BJP In North Gujarat

Here's a Roundup of Exit Polls Prediction So Far

Times Now - VMR Predicts 41% Vote Share For Congress

47% Vote Share For BJP, Says India Today Exit Poll

NewsX - CNX Goes With 115 For BJP

Republic Predicts Congress to Increase Seat Share

Times of India Online Predicts BJP Win

Times Now-VMR Predicts BJP Majority

Voting In Gujarat Assembly Elections Ends

Focus on Margin of Victory for BJP, Not Election Win In Itself

ABP-CSDS Poll Predicts 43% Vote Share for Both Parties

Will It Be a Rahul Gandhi Moment? Pre-Poll Surveys Say No

Yogendra Yadav Says BJP Set to Win in Urban Centres, but Will Lose in Semi-Urban, Rural Seats

What the Pre-Poll Surveys Show

An earlier analysis of the three pre-poll surveys showed that while the BJP might secure a victory in the Gujarat Assembly elections, the margin of victory would probably be smaller than expected.

The pre-poll surveys were conducted by India TV, Times Now-VMR, and ABP-CSDS in their own capacities.

The analysis, a consolidation of the three pre-election opinion polls, predicts a win for the BJP in Gujarat, with an average of 105-106 seats in its favour.

BJP president Amit Shah had set a target of 150+ seats in Gujarat, which has been a BJP bastion for the last 22 years.

On Wednesday, 13 December, psephologist Yogendra Yadav also drafted a probable three-case scenario for the elections, which sees the BJP, the traditional kingpin in the state, lose in all possibilities.

He predicted that while the BJP virtually holds fort in the urban seats with over 25 seats in its kitty, the same can’t be said for rural and semi-urban seats.

Also Read: 3 Possible Results in Gujarat and BJP Loses in All: Yogendra Yadav

Second-Phase of Voting Underway

The second and final phase of voting covers 93 constituencies in the North, West and Central parts of the state. Voter turnout for the first phase of the elections for 89 seats, held on 9 December, stood at 66.75 percent.

The high-voltage campaigning in the state ended on 12 December.

Also Read: Gujarat: 47.40% Voter Turnout till 2 PM, Row over Modi’s Roadshow

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