PM Narendra Modi, BJP Leaders to Meet at Dinner to Discuss 2019 Lok Sabha Polls
Ahmedabad, Dec 18: It has been an attritional campaign in Gujarat this year and the war of words got more acerbic as the campaign progressed. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) which is all set to form a government in the state for the sixth time may be slightly shaken by the fact that these elections have been more uncomfortable than it may have expected. The party might lose 5-10 seats from its tally of 115 in 2012 but at the end of the day —‘Jo Jeeta Wohi Sikandar’ — at around 105-110, that’s a good majority. Catch live updates on Gujarat Assembly election results 2017 here
In Gujarat’s 182-member- assembly, 92 seats are needed to form a government.
The Congress may take heart from the fact that it has made significant gains from the 61 seats it won in 2012 and run the BJP close. For Rahul Gandhi, who was recently elevated to the party’s top job, some may go as far to say — ‘Harkar Jeetney Wale Ko Baazigar Kehtey Hain’.
Here’s a look at how the various regions of the state voted. Remember these are leads at around noon – that’s four hours into the counting – and there may be slight variance in the final tally.
Saurashtra & Kutch
Most of the BJP’s losses came from Saurashtra and Kutch that voted in the first phase of the Gujarat elections on December 9. Of the 63 seats in the region, the BJP was ahead in 23 and Congress was leading in 30. These losses are significant when compared to the 2012 elections where the BJP had won as many as 35 seats from the region and the Congress had bagged just 16.
In fact, the resentment against the BJP seems the most in Saurashtra’s agrarian belt where the party may manage to win only 9 of the 32 seats — half of what it had in 2012. The Congress looks set to improve its tally from 11 to 22 – the most significant gains it has made in any region in Gujarat.
In North Gujarat, where the BJP was supposedly the weakest and the Hardik-Patel factor was supposed to hurt the party further, it seems then saffron brigade has given a good account of itself. In fact, of the 22 seats in the region, the BJP has improved on its 2012 tally of 15 and is said to win about 18 seats in the region.
The Congress did not get the consolidation of Patel-OBC-Dalit votes against the BJP it has hoped for and seems to be losing 5 seats here – down to 12 in these elections from the 17 it had in 2012. The Congress almost outsourced its campaign to Hardik Patel – and while the 24-year-old impacted the BJP’s traditional vote bank, it just wasn’t enough.
Central Gujarat’s 61 seats are where the BJP has made good some of its losses in other regions. Here in 2012, the party had managed 37 seats. Perhaps the Prime Minister’s strident campaign, especially in the second phase of polling, helped consolidate the party’s position further. The BJP is set to win 46 seats in this region. The Congress party’s tally has fallen to 14 from 22.
The Congress has made minor gains in South Gujarat where it had managed just 6 of the 35 seats in 2012. This time they’re in front in 13 seats. The BJP may lose 5 seats in this region where it had 28 seats in 2012.
Ahmedabad, Vadodara and Surat
The BJP seems to have held on to its urban voter base. Gujarat’s three major cities – Ahmedabad, Vadodara and Surat account for about 36 constituencies of which BJP is winning 31 this time around. While this is down from the 33 that the party had won in 2012, of the 70-odd urban seats in the state party will win 57 seats while the Congress gets only 16.